Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/25 Game 1
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+74.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +37.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -18.3 | -5.8 | +34.4 | -10.3 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,000 | 13% | 19% | 51% | 18% | -0.3 | -5.9 | +0.4 | +5.8 |
| East 3 | Asami Maki ron 5,800 from Hinata Aiko | 12% | 15% | 52% | 20% | -0.1 | +0.6 | +15.6 | -16.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 9% | 11% | 69% | 12% | +32.2 | -28.1 | -1.0 | -3.1 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 16,000 | 23% | 3% | 67% | 8% | -10.3 | +37.1 | -5.2 | -21.6 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 18% | 14% | 64% | 3% | -8.5 | +5.6 | +3.4 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 10% | 17% | 70% | 3% | -2.5 | +6.4 | -2.7 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 21% | 66% | 3% | -12.0 | +37.7 | -19.1 | -6.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 5,800 from Hinata Aiko | 4% | 63% | 32% | 1% | +1.0 | +16.8 | -8.8 | -9.0 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 2% | 83% | 15% | 1% | +0.8 | -2.2 | -0.1 | +1.5 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 1% | 83% | 15% | 0% | +1.7 | +6.0 | -21.5 | +13.7 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 9,600 | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -11.0 | -4.0 | -5.9 | +20.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 96% | 1% | 3% | +1.7 | +11.4 | +9.3 | -22.4 |