Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/25 Game 1
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+74.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +39.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -18.1 | -7.7 | +36.2 | -10.4 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 18% | 53% | 17% | +0.2 | -4.4 | -1.0 | +5.2 |
| East 3 | Maki Asami ron 5,800 from Aiko Hinata | 13% | 14% | 53% | 20% | +0.9 | -1.9 | +17.7 | -16.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura | 10% | 9% | 72% | 10% | +30.0 | -27.0 | -2.8 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 16,000 | 23% | 3% | 66% | 8% | -9.1 | +37.2 | -5.4 | -22.7 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 20% | 14% | 63% | 3% | -9.1 | +6.9 | +3.5 | -1.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 18% | 69% | 3% | -2.7 | +5.4 | -1.3 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 21% | 68% | 3% | -12.9 | +39.9 | -21.3 | -5.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 5,800 from Aiko Hinata | 3% | 67% | 29% | 1% | +2.0 | +13.7 | -7.5 | -8.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 81% | 17% | 1% | +1.0 | -1.1 | -0.4 | +0.4 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 1% | 84% | 15% | 0% | +0.9 | +5.8 | -21.2 | +14.4 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 9,600 | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -10.5 | -3.9 | -7.4 | +21.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 96% | 0% | 3% | +2.0 | +11.5 | +10.2 | -23.7 |