Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/25 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+53.2pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -14.3 | +13.9 | +0.9 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 14% | 35% | 26% | 25% | +1.3 | -23.6 | -1.7 | +24.0 |
| East 3 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 7,700 from Setokuma Naoki | 15% | 17% | 23% | 45% | -18.0 | -3.1 | +23.2 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 14% | 39% | 39% | +9.0 | -3.4 | -5.3 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 11% | 13% | 36% | 40% | +0.2 | +4.2 | +5.2 | -9.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 15% | 42% | 32% | -17.4 | -8.0 | -7.0 | +32.4 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 7% | 25% | 66% | +22.9 | -17.3 | -8.2 | +2.5 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 5% | 2% | 18% | 75% | +8.8 | -10.4 | -4.4 | +5.9 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 0% | 6% | 88% | -8.7 | +6.7 | +2.2 | -0.3 |