Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/25 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+53.2pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -14.8 | +15.1 | +2.0 | -2.4 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 16% | 35% | 26% | 23% | +0.3 | -24.5 | -2.5 | +26.8 |
| East 3 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 7,700 from Naoki Setokuma | 15% | 18% | 22% | 45% | -18.8 | -3.5 | +24.7 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 4,000 | 7% | 14% | 40% | 39% | +9.3 | -2.7 | -5.7 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 13% | 36% | 42% | -0.9 | +4.6 | +6.6 | -10.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 16% | 44% | 30% | -16.0 | -7.3 | -11.0 | +34.3 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 7% | 23% | 69% | +23.2 | -18.1 | -6.1 | +1.1 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 5% | 2% | 19% | 74% | +8.5 | -9.8 | -5.3 | +6.7 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 0% | 6% | 89% | -8.9 | +6.4 | +3.0 | -0.5 |