Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/25 Table B Game 1

Shingo Hori finished 1st (+60.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +27.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shingo Hori● Geki Shimoishi● Kotaro Uchikawa● Megumu Aikawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shingo● Geki● Kotaro● Megumu
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGeki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Megumu Aikawa
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Megumu Aikawa
Expected pt change
East 1Megumu Aikawa tsumo 4,00026%25%24%25%-6.2-3.0+0.7+8.5
East 2Exhaustive draw21%22%25%32%+6.4-2.2-6.2+2.1
East 3, 1 honbaShingo Hori tsumo 8,00025%21%21%34%-6.6+27.7-12.4-8.7
East 4Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Megumu Aikawa19%42%13%26%-1.2+24.9+1.4-25.1
South 1Megumu Aikawa tsumo 12,00014%69%9%8%-18.8-3.7-14.1+36.6
South 2Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Megumu Aikawa4%65%6%25%-2.6+2.5+8.9-8.9
South 3Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa2%74%7%17%+28.1+5.4-27.3-6.1
South 4Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Megumu Aikawa6%83%0%11%+6.0+10.1-0.1-15.9

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)