Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/25 Table B Game 2
Shirinashihama Wataru finished 1st (+57.7pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Shirinashihama Wataru ron 5,200 from Ishii Kazuma, which moved Shirinashihama Wataru's expected points by +25.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Shirinashihama Wataru 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Shirinashihama Wataru Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shirinashihama Wataru ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -23.6 | +1.3 | +22.0 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 24% | 42% | 25% | -2.5 | -10.7 | -2.8 | +15.9 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana tsumo 6,400 | 10% | 17% | 38% | 36% | +15.6 | -2.9 | -10.7 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Nakada Kana ron 2,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 18% | 16% | 30% | 36% | +7.7 | -8.3 | +3.3 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Shirinashihama Wataru tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 12% | 34% | 32% | -11.6 | -6.0 | +22.3 | -4.8 |
| South 2 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 2,100 | 10% | 8% | 56% | 25% | -2.2 | +5.2 | -2.2 | -0.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 11% | 54% | 24% | -13.4 | +41.8 | -14.7 | -13.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shirinashihama Wataru ron 5,200 from Ishii Kazuma | 6% | 39% | 37% | 18% | -1.8 | -23.7 | +25.7 | -0.2 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 3% | 12% | 70% | 15% | -2.4 | -27.1 | +3.2 | +26.3 |
| South 4 | Shirinashihama Wataru tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 0% | 78% | 21% | -10.5 | +7.8 | +11.7 | -9.0 |