Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/25 Table B Game 2
Wataru Shirinashihama finished 1st (+57.7pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Wataru Shirinashihama ron 5,200 from Kazuma Ishii, which moved Wataru Shirinashihama's expected points by +25.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Wataru Shirinashihama 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Wataru Shirinashihama Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Wataru Shirinashihama ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 26% | 26% | 26% | 22% | -21.2 | -2.6 | +21.4 | +2.4 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 23% | 41% | 24% | -5.0 | -9.1 | -1.7 | +15.7 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada tsumo 6,400 | 10% | 16% | 38% | 36% | +17.4 | -3.4 | -9.0 | -5.1 |
| East 4 | Kana Nakada ron 2,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 18% | 17% | 33% | 32% | +5.1 | -6.5 | +0.3 | +1.1 |
| South 1 | Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 5,200 | 21% | 14% | 32% | 33% | -10.9 | -7.7 | +22.1 | -3.5 |
| South 2 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 2,100 | 10% | 9% | 55% | 26% | -2.1 | +4.7 | -0.7 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 10% | 54% | 25% | -12.8 | +42.7 | -15.2 | -14.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Wataru Shirinashihama ron 5,200 from Kazuma Ishii | 7% | 39% | 35% | 19% | -2.5 | -23.0 | +25.5 | +0.1 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 3% | 12% | 70% | 14% | -1.9 | -27.5 | +4.0 | +25.4 |
| South 4 | Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 0% | 79% | 20% | -10.5 | +7.3 | +11.3 | -8.1 |