Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/28 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Okada Sayaka ron 18,000 from Miura Tomohiro, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +60.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Miura Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Miura Tomohiro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Miura Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -0.2 | -0.9 | +33.2 | -32.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 22% | 51% | 8% | +3.3 | -8.3 | +2.8 | +2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Miura Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 22% | 15% | 54% | 9% | -0.6 | -14.6 | +14.8 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 17% | 7% | 69% | 7% | +4.6 | +1.0 | -3.0 | -2.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,100 | 20% | 7% | 67% | 7% | -1.5 | -5.2 | -1.9 | +8.6 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 6% | 65% | 9% | +23.5 | -3.8 | -7.2 | -12.5 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 38% | 5% | 53% | 4% | -15.6 | -10.3 | -3.6 | +29.5 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,500 from Miura Tomohiro | 26% | 4% | 53% | 16% | +0.6 | +1.8 | -1.5 | -0.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 28% | 4% | 52% | 16% | +28.3 | -3.0 | -5.0 | -20.4 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 62% | 0% | 34% | 4% | +3.0 | -14.4 | -7.0 | +18.4 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 18,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 68% | 0% | 23% | 9% | -15.8 | +0.4 | -45.2 | +60.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 0% | 0% | 74% | -11.6 | -1.4 | +5.6 | +7.4 |