Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/28 Game 1
Sayaka Okada finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sayaka Okada ron 18,000 from Tomohiro Miura, which moved Sayaka Okada's expected points by +59.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Miura ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -1.4 | 0.0 | +32.9 | -31.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 20% | 51% | 9% | +4.1 | -10.9 | +4.2 | +2.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 21% | 14% | 55% | 10% | -1.4 | -12.2 | +13.7 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 7% | 69% | 8% | +6.0 | +0.1 | -3.6 | -2.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 2,100 | 20% | 8% | 66% | 7% | -2.2 | -4.1 | -1.2 | +7.5 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 7% | 67% | 8% | +25.2 | -5.5 | -7.0 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 4% | 53% | 3% | -18.0 | -9.5 | -3.8 | +31.4 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,500 from Tomohiro Miura | 25% | 4% | 54% | 17% | +2.9 | +1.2 | -3.4 | -0.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 28% | 4% | 51% | 17% | +27.8 | -0.9 | -4.7 | -22.2 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 62% | 0% | 34% | 4% | +3.5 | -15.9 | -6.6 | +19.0 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Okada ron 18,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 70% | 0% | 21% | 10% | -16.2 | +0.6 | -44.1 | +59.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 0% | 0% | 73% | -11.9 | -1.4 | +5.1 | +8.2 |