Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/28 Game 2
Hinako Sano finished 1st (+72.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hinako Sano tsumo 8,000, which moved Hinako Sano's expected points by +32.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Hinako Sano 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Hinako Sano Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazuma Ishii ron 1,300 from Hinako Sano | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +0.1 | -1.7 | +5.8 | -4.2 |
| East 2 | Shota Akutsu ron 2,600 from Kazuma Ishii | 24% | 24% | 29% | 23% | +8.0 | -1.3 | -7.0 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 21% | 25% | 24% | +24.7 | -5.2 | -14.9 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Hinako Sano ron 2,900 from Kazuma Ishii | 53% | 16% | 13% | 18% | +0.2 | -0.2 | -6.6 | +6.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 15% | 11% | 21% | -6.5 | +25.6 | -6.1 | -13.0 |
| South 1 | Hinako Sano ron 5,200 from Shota Akutsu | 44% | 34% | 8% | 14% | -16.0 | -1.7 | -1.1 | +18.9 |
| South 2 | Hinako Sano tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 34% | 10% | 27% | -7.1 | -18.3 | -6.9 | +32.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 14% | 6% | 61% | -3.9 | -4.9 | +3.1 | +5.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 9% | 7% | 69% | -13.0 | +46.9 | -17.6 | -16.3 |
| South 4 | Hinako Sano tsumo 3,000 | 4% | 62% | 0% | 34% | -2.2 | -18.5 | -1.1 | +21.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hinako Sano ron 5,800 from Kei Nakabayashi | 3% | 20% | 0% | 77% | +2.5 | -18.1 | +0.2 | +15.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hinako Sano ron 7,700 from Kei Nakabayashi | 1% | 2% | 0% | 97% | +9.5 | -20.9 | +2.0 | +9.4 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 1,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +7.8 | -2.3 | -4.5 | -1.1 |