Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/28 Game 2
Sano Hinako finished 1st (+72.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sano Hinako tsumo 8,000, which moved Sano Hinako's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Sano Hinako 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Sano Hinako Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishii Kazuma ron 1,300 from Sano Hinako | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | -2.7 | -1.6 | +5.7 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Akutsu Shota ron 2,600 from Ishii Kazuma | 23% | 23% | 30% | 24% | +9.2 | -2.1 | -7.2 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 22% | 25% | 23% | +25.9 | -5.6 | -14.7 | -5.5 |
| East 4 | Sano Hinako ron 2,900 from Ishii Kazuma | 54% | 16% | 13% | 17% | -1.5 | +0.1 | -7.4 | +8.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 53% | 15% | 9% | 23% | -6.0 | +25.9 | -4.5 | -15.4 |
| South 1 | Sano Hinako ron 5,200 from Akutsu Shota | 45% | 33% | 9% | 14% | -17.7 | -0.7 | -1.8 | +20.3 |
| South 2 | Sano Hinako tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 36% | 9% | 27% | -5.7 | -18.9 | -9.7 | +34.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 17% | 14% | 4% | 65% | -4.2 | -4.2 | +3.8 | +4.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 10% | 6% | 70% | -12.5 | +44.5 | -15.9 | -16.2 |
| South 4 | Sano Hinako tsumo 3,000 | 3% | 60% | 0% | 36% | -2.0 | -18.0 | -0.8 | +20.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sano Hinako ron 5,800 from Nakabayashi Kei | 2% | 20% | 0% | 78% | +2.5 | -18.0 | +0.4 | +15.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sano Hinako ron 7,700 from Nakabayashi Kei | 1% | 2% | 0% | 97% | +10.1 | -20.2 | +0.9 | +9.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 1,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +7.4 | -2.5 | -3.8 | -1.0 |