Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/28 Table B Game 2
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +57.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -5.4 | +0.6 | -2.1 | +6.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 1,100 | 21% | 25% | 24% | 30% | +7.6 | -5.5 | -2.7 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 26% | 21% | 22% | 31% | +1.3 | +1.3 | -5.6 | +2.9 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 21% | 18% | 33% | -11.1 | -9.3 | +42.8 | -22.4 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 6,000 | 18% | 14% | 54% | 14% | +18.2 | -7.2 | -7.2 | -3.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kana Nakada tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 10% | 47% | 13% | -17.4 | -10.4 | -3.9 | +31.7 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 8% | 41% | 35% | +8.5 | -8.3 | +1.7 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 3% | 44% | 32% | +11.9 | -4.3 | +0.5 | -8.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 1% | 45% | 22% | -16.5 | +1.7 | +6.4 | +8.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 18% | 1% | 56% | 25% | +57.8 | -2.9 | -19.6 | -35.2 |