Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/28 Table B Game 2
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +57.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -3.2 | -3.6 | -0.4 | +7.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 1,100 | 22% | 24% | 25% | 30% | +6.8 | -4.7 | -1.6 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 27% | 19% | 24% | 30% | +0.4 | +0.4 | -6.4 | +5.6 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 21% | 18% | 35% | -12.8 | -7.9 | +42.7 | -22.0 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 6,000 | 16% | 13% | 55% | 15% | +19.2 | -6.1 | -6.7 | -6.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 11% | 47% | 13% | -16.7 | -11.4 | -3.2 | +31.4 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 7% | 43% | 34% | +8.8 | -8.4 | +0.1 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 21% | 3% | 43% | 33% | +12.9 | -4.1 | +0.4 | -9.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 32% | 1% | 44% | 22% | -17.2 | +1.9 | +6.2 | +9.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 17% | 1% | 55% | 26% | +57.8 | -3.2 | -19.1 | -35.5 |