Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/29 Game 1
Nagai Kosuke finished 1st (+52.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Nagai Kosuke tsumo 12,000, which moved Nagai Kosuke's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -2.8 | -3.1 | -29.8 | +35.6 |
| East 2 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 19% | 9% | 53% | -4.9 | -14.6 | +21.7 | -2.2 |
| East 3 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 11% | 19% | 53% | -11.6 | -7.2 | +32.2 | -13.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 10% | 42% | 37% | +26.5 | -10.0 | -12.4 | -4.1 |
| East 4 | Nagai Kosuke ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 28% | 6% | 31% | 34% | -11.8 | +0.8 | +12.3 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 6% | 43% | 32% | -21.8 | +30.8 | -2.8 | -6.2 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 8% | 19% | 44% | 29% | -0.9 | +14.6 | +0.2 | -13.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 8% | 30% | 42% | 20% | +1.9 | -4.6 | +28.7 | -26.1 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 14% | 79% | 4% | -15.6 | -10.6 | -10.5 | +36.6 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 10% | 72% | 17% | -5.7 | +12.3 | +12.6 | -19.2 |