Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/29 Game 1
Kosuke Nagai finished 1st (+52.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kosuke Nagai tsumo 12,000, which moved Kosuke Nagai's expected points by +30.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -4.9 | -2.4 | -28.9 | +36.2 |
| East 2 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 20% | 10% | 53% | -4.5 | -15.4 | +22.0 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 13% | 19% | 52% | -8.2 | -10.2 | +30.8 | -12.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 9% | 41% | 38% | +24.3 | -7.2 | -12.9 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Kosuke Nagai ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 28% | 7% | 29% | 36% | -10.1 | -2.2 | +15.7 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 6% | 46% | 30% | -23.4 | +33.4 | -6.8 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 8% | 21% | 40% | 31% | 0.0 | +12.2 | +3.0 | -15.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 8% | 28% | 44% | 20% | +1.0 | -3.1 | +27.5 | -25.4 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 13% | 79% | 5% | -15.1 | -11.3 | -10.5 | +36.9 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 9% | 71% | 19% | -5.4 | +13.1 | +12.7 | -20.5 |