Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/29 Game 2
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kana Nakada ron 18,000 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +43.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 24% | 24% | 24% | 28% | +36.0 | -3.4 | -0.5 | -32.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 53% | 18% | 20% | 9% | -23.4 | +0.6 | +1.5 | +21.3 |
| East 2 | Kana Nakada ron 18,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 33% | 22% | 25% | 21% | -3.8 | +43.9 | -1.5 | -38.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 54% | 18% | 4% | +5.6 | -2.5 | -1.5 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 53% | 16% | 4% | -0.7 | +3.0 | -5.7 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 6,000 | 27% | 57% | 13% | 3% | -5.2 | -6.6 | -6.1 | +17.9 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Kana Nakada ron 1,600 from Koshin Asakura | 25% | 53% | 12% | 10% | +1.4 | +10.6 | -6.9 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 66% | 7% | 5% | -5.7 | 0.0 | +8.3 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 16% | 68% | 11% | 5% | -30.4 | +25.5 | +2.0 | +2.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 94% | 4% | 2% | -6.2 | +0.4 | +1.9 | +3.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 94% | 4% | 2% | -4.6 | -1.8 | 0.0 | +6.3 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 94% | 3% | 2% | -9.1 | -3.1 | -20.9 | +33.1 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 93% | 0% | 7% | +23.0 | +1.4 | -17.3 | -7.1 |