Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/29 Game 2
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Nakada Kana ron 18,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +43.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +34.8 | -1.7 | -0.5 | -32.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 51% | 20% | 21% | 8% | -24.5 | 0.0 | +1.8 | +22.7 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana ron 18,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 32% | 24% | 25% | 20% | -3.8 | +43.5 | -2.3 | -37.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 57% | 18% | 4% | +6.3 | -2.8 | -1.0 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 27% | 53% | 17% | 3% | +1.2 | -1.0 | -6.2 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 6,000 | 28% | 53% | 14% | 5% | -4.0 | -2.9 | -6.5 | +13.4 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Nakada Kana ron 1,600 from Asakura Koshin | 27% | 53% | 11% | 9% | -2.8 | +11.5 | -5.9 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 19% | 68% | 8% | 5% | -2.9 | -0.6 | +7.6 | -4.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 17% | 69% | 10% | 4% | -31.3 | +24.5 | +2.4 | +4.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 93% | 4% | 2% | -6.7 | +0.1 | +2.7 | +3.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 93% | 4% | 2% | -3.9 | -1.2 | -2.0 | +7.1 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 95% | 3% | 2% | -9.2 | -2.9 | -20.0 | +32.2 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 93% | 0% | 7% | +23.2 | +1.1 | -17.2 | -7.1 |