Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/29 Table B Game 1
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+62.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 23% | 24% | 25% | +3.7 | +0.5 | -3.5 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 2,700 | 30% | 26% | 21% | 24% | -6.2 | -5.3 | -0.9 | +12.4 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 25% | 21% | 22% | 32% | +23.9 | -24.3 | +2.4 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 8% | 21% | 28% | +21.4 | -4.4 | -12.7 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 66% | 5% | 9% | 20% | -2.7 | +31.6 | -10.2 | -18.7 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Arisa Date | 66% | 16% | 7% | 11% | +1.9 | -2.0 | -4.6 | +4.7 |
| South 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 13% | 6% | 11% | -2.0 | -15.7 | -7.0 | +24.7 |
| South 3 | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Aiko Hinata | 68% | 3% | 4% | 25% | +9.9 | -3.2 | -6.6 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 84% | 1% | 0% | 15% | -31.1 | -5.7 | -4.5 | +41.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 0% | 0% | 83% | -7.3 | +2.8 | -0.9 | +5.5 |