Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/29 Table B Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+78.3pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +43.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +8.8 | -4.4 | -3.1 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 5,800 from Mari Takamiya | 30% | 23% | 22% | 25% | +14.7 | -0.4 | -12.7 | -1.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 21% | 15% | 21% | -17.3 | -7.4 | +31.2 | -6.5 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Ken Sonoda | 28% | 18% | 35% | 19% | +6.5 | -4.4 | -0.2 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 15% | 36% | 18% | -13.8 | -10.0 | +32.6 | -8.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 8% | 65% | 11% | -2.3 | -1.0 | +5.0 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 6% | 71% | 9% | -1.3 | +6.1 | +0.1 | -4.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 12% | 8% | 73% | 7% | -1.5 | -3.9 | -38.1 | +43.6 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 18% | 10% | 34% | 38% | -0.5 | -27.4 | -4.4 | +32.3 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 2% | 21% | 65% | -9.1 | -5.7 | +30.3 | -15.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 1% | 52% | 41% | -5.4 | -1.9 | -3.3 | +10.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 0% | 43% | 55% | -4.9 | +2.4 | +2.5 | 0.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 1% | 45% | 53% | +4.2 | -4.7 | -1.4 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 1% | 0% | 42% | 57% | -3.3 | -0.4 | -10.5 | +14.3 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 18% | 82% | -3.9 | -3.9 | -10.7 | +18.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -0.7 | -1.0 | +2.2 | -0.5 |