Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/29 Table B Game 2

Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+78.3pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +41.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Sonoda Ken● Takeuchi Genta● Matsumoto Yoshihiro● Takamiya Mari0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Sonoda● Takeuchi● Matsumoto● Takamiya
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
1st-place chance
Takamiya Mari
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
Expected pt change
Takamiya Mari
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Draw25%25%25%26%+7.9-2.7-2.7-2.4
East 1, 1 honbaTakeuchi Genta ron 5,800 from Takamiya Mari29%24%23%24%+15.9-0.7-15.8+0.7
East 1, 2 honbaTakamiya Mari tsumo 12,00043%21%14%22%-17.0-7.4+34.4-9.9
East 2Takeuchi Genta ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken28%18%37%18%+6.6-4.8-1.1-0.7
East 3Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,00033%14%36%17%-12.7-11.3+33.2-9.3
East 3, 1 honbaDraw17%6%66%10%-3.9-1.2+5.3-0.1
East 3, 2 honbaDraw13%5%73%9%-1.1+6.5-2.2-3.2
East 4, 3 honbaSonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari13%7%72%8%-1.6-4.3-35.2+41.1
East 4, 4 honbaSonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro18%10%36%36%-0.4-26.7-7.0+34.2
East 4, 5 honbaTakamiya Mari tsumo 8,00011%2%19%68%-9.1-5.3+31.4-17.0
South 1Draw7%1%51%41%-5.2-2.1-3.2+10.5
South 2, 1 honbaDraw2%1%43%54%-5.4+2.0+2.7+0.7
South 2, 2 honbaDraw1%0%46%53%+4.6-4.2-2.7+2.3
South 3, 3 honbaSonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Takeuchi Genta1%0%41%58%-3.3-0.2-10.3+13.8
South 4Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,0000%0%17%83%-4.2-3.9-10.4+18.4
South 4, 1 honbaDraw0%0%1%99%-0.3-1.1+2.2-0.8

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)