Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/29 Table B Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+78.3pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +41.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +7.9 | -2.7 | -2.7 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 5,800 from Takamiya Mari | 29% | 24% | 23% | 24% | +15.9 | -0.7 | -15.8 | +0.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 21% | 14% | 22% | -17.0 | -7.4 | +34.4 | -9.9 |
| East 2 | Takeuchi Genta ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 28% | 18% | 37% | 18% | +6.6 | -4.8 | -1.1 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 14% | 36% | 17% | -12.7 | -11.3 | +33.2 | -9.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 6% | 66% | 10% | -3.9 | -1.2 | +5.3 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 13% | 5% | 73% | 9% | -1.1 | +6.5 | -2.2 | -3.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 13% | 7% | 72% | 8% | -1.6 | -4.3 | -35.2 | +41.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 18% | 10% | 36% | 36% | -0.4 | -26.7 | -7.0 | +34.2 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 2% | 19% | 68% | -9.1 | -5.3 | +31.4 | -17.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 7% | 1% | 51% | 41% | -5.2 | -2.1 | -3.2 | +10.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 1% | 43% | 54% | -5.4 | +2.0 | +2.7 | +0.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 0% | 46% | 53% | +4.6 | -4.2 | -2.7 | +2.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 1% | 0% | 41% | 58% | -3.3 | -0.2 | -10.3 | +13.8 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 83% | -4.2 | -3.9 | -10.4 | +18.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -0.3 | -1.1 | +2.2 | -0.8 |