Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/1 Game 1

Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+67.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 18,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +52.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Watanabe Futoshi● Sasaki Hisato● Miura Tomohiro● Takeuchi Genta0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Watanabe● Sasaki● Miura● Takeuchi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Watanabe Futoshi
1st-place chance
Miura Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Watanabe Futoshi
Expected pt change
Miura Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
East 1Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi26%26%24%24%+10.5-12.7-0.3+2.4
East 1, 1 honbaWatanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato32%18%24%26%-21.7+21.9-0.1-0.1
East 2Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Takeuchi Genta18%32%24%27%+11.3+0.4-0.7-11.1
East 3Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,600 from Miura Tomohiro26%31%23%20%+0.9+9.5-9.4-1.1
East 4Takeuchi Genta tsumo 7,80025%41%15%19%-7.1-9.2-11.4+27.7
East 4, 1 honbaTakeuchi Genta tsumo 3,90020%31%10%39%-5.1-4.3-0.3+9.7
East 4, 2 honbaMiura Tomohiro tsumo 16,00016%26%11%47%-12.5-9.8+47.5-25.1
South 1Miura Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Takeuchi Genta11%22%44%24%-2.3-0.9+27.0-23.8
South 2Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 18,0004%12%77%6%-14.4+52.9-26.6-11.9
South 2, 1 honbaDraw1%68%28%3%-4.2+0.4-1.7+5.5
South 3, 2 honbaWatanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato0%72%25%3%-7.9+14.5-8.8+2.2
South 4Takeuchi Genta ron 1,500 from Miura Tomohiro0%94%4%2%-0.3-0.2-1.8+2.4
South 4, 1 honbaWatanabe Futoshi ron 1,000 from Miura Tomohiro0%94%4%2%-2.2+4.3-0.8-1.2

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)