Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/1 Table B Game 1

Akutsu Shota finished 1st (+82.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Akutsu Shota tsumo 12,000, which moved Akutsu Shota's expected points by +27.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Akutsu Shota● Asakura Koshin● Hagiwara Masato● Nagai Kosuke0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Akutsu● Asakura● Hagiwara● Nagai
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAkutsu Shota
1st-place chance
Asakura Koshin
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Nagai Kosuke
1st-place chance
Akutsu Shota
Expected pt change
Asakura Koshin
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Nagai Kosuke
Expected pt change
East 1Akutsu Shota tsumo 12,00026%25%23%25%+27.0-8.5-7.6-10.9
East 1, 1 honbaAsakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato47%19%18%17%-2.4+9.1-11.1+4.3
East 2Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato45%23%13%19%-2.5+15.2-6.3-6.3
East 2, 1 honbaAsakura Koshin tsumo 3,90041%34%10%14%-3.7+8.5-3.0-1.8
East 2, 2 honbaAkutsu Shota tsumo 8,00037%40%9%14%+24.3-12.6-6.0-5.7
East 3Nagai Kosuke tsumo 12,00060%25%6%10%-5.5-10.5-14.7+30.8
East 4Draw56%18%2%25%-1.9-1.5-2.1+5.5
East 4, 1 honbaAkutsu Shota ron 2,000 from Asakura Koshin52%17%2%29%+11.6-9.3-0.9-1.4
South 1Akutsu Shota ron 2,900 from Hagiwara Masato66%9%2%23%+8.4-1.3-4.0-3.2
South 1, 1 honbaAkutsu Shota tsumo 12,00076%7%1%17%+19.6-5.8-4.6-9.2
South 1, 2 honbaNagai Kosuke ron 2,600 from Asakura Koshin92%3%0%5%-0.4-5.9-0.8+7.0
South 2Akutsu Shota ron 2,000 from Nagai Kosuke94%1%0%5%+5.4-2.3+0.5-3.6
South 3Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,00098%0%0%2%-2.6-2.5-7.2+12.4
South 4Akutsu Shota tsumo 2,00096%0%0%4%+3.5+0.1-0.2-3.3

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)