Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/2 Game 1
Date Arisa finished 1st (+66.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Date Arisa tsumo 8,000, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +24.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 26% | 24% | 23% | -12.9 | -8.2 | -2.7 | +23.8 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 20% | 21% | 42% | -4.3 | -13.2 | -7.3 | +24.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 11% | 9% | 13% | 67% | -0.1 | -2.3 | -3.3 | +5.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 3,900 from Ishii Kazuma | 10% | 7% | 9% | 74% | -1.3 | +1.3 | -9.8 | +9.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 2,600 from Shimoishi Geki | 6% | 6% | 5% | 83% | +0.1 | -9.1 | +8.9 | +0.1 |
| South 1 | Ishii Kazuma ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 6% | 3% | 6% | 85% | -11.2 | -0.3 | +9.2 | +2.3 |
| South 2 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | -4.6 | -14.7 | +21.3 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Shimoishi Geki ron 5,200 from Ishii Kazuma | 0% | 0% | 12% | 88% | -5.4 | +11.8 | -11.2 | +4.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -10.0 | +10.0 | +1.7 | -1.8 |