Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/2 Game 2
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Tojyo Rio, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +20.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,300 from Takamiya Mari | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -1.4 | -4.1 | +4.1 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 21% | 30% | 25% | -1.9 | +4.7 | -2.7 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Tojyo Rio | 23% | 25% | 27% | 25% | -3.8 | -0.8 | +20.4 | -15.8 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,800 from Tojyo Rio | 20% | 22% | 42% | 16% | +1.3 | -2.6 | +14.3 | -13.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 18% | 54% | 9% | -6.1 | +18.6 | -6.8 | -5.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 32% | 47% | 7% | -0.6 | -1.3 | -4.0 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from HIRO Shibata | 16% | 31% | 44% | 10% | -7.5 | +0.8 | +0.3 | +6.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Tojyo Rio | 11% | 33% | 44% | 12% | -1.1 | -1.4 | +14.8 | -12.4 |
| South 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 5,200 from HIRO Shibata | 8% | 26% | 61% | 5% | -16.6 | +1.3 | +3.6 | +11.7 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,400 | 2% | 25% | 66% | 7% | -2.6 | -14.8 | +19.8 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 3% | 94% | 3% | -6.1 | +17.4 | -8.5 | -2.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 12% | 85% | 3% | -2.1 | -4.1 | +5.8 | +0.5 |