Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/2 Table B Game 1

Asami Maki finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Asami Maki tsumo 12,000, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +41.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Asami Maki● Hinata Aiko● Hori Shingo● Takeuchi Genta0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Asami● Hinata● Hori● Takeuchi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAsami Maki
1st-place chance
Hinata Aiko
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Asami Maki
Expected pt change
Hinata Aiko
Expected pt change
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
East 1Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,00025%25%25%25%-5.4+12.4-2.6-4.4
East 2Draw20%34%24%22%+4.9-4.6-2.0+1.7
East 3, 1 honbaAsami Maki tsumo 12,00023%31%23%24%+37.6-9.9-20.3-7.4
East 4Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Asami Maki56%18%9%17%-20.9+30.2-4.2-5.1
South 1Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Asami Maki33%47%7%13%-28.2+3.1-4.4+29.5
South 2Asami Maki tsumo 8,00011%51%7%31%+29.1-14.6-5.5-8.9
South 3Asami Maki tsumo 12,00035%34%6%26%+41.1-13.9-14.7-12.5
South 4Takeuchi Genta tsumo 3,00090%4%0%7%-2.6-4.9-1.5+9.0
South 4, 1 honbaAsami Maki ron 1,600 from Hori Shingo85%4%0%10%+9.9-12.3-2.7+5.1

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)