Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/2 Table B Game 2

Shirinashihama Wataru finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shirinashihama Wataru ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Shirinashihama Wataru's expected points by +29.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Shirinashihama Wataru● Ooi Takaharu● Kayamori Sayaka● Sonoda Ken0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Shirinashihama● Ooi● Kayamori● Sonoda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShirinashihama Wataru
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Kayamori Sayaka
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Shirinashihama Wataru
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Kayamori Sayaka
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Shirinashihama Wataru ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken25%23%25%26%+29.1+0.2-0.3-29.0
East 1, 1 honbaDraw47%22%22%9%-3.1+3.2-2.0+1.9
East 2, 2 honbaKayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken45%23%22%10%-1.9-4.1+18.3-12.2
East 3Draw43%19%32%6%+2.0-3.6+4.6-3.0
East 3, 1 honbaShirinashihama Wataru ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken43%16%36%5%+7.2-1.1-2.9-3.2
East 4Draw51%15%31%4%-3.9-0.2+0.5+3.5
East 4, 1 honbaShirinashihama Wataru tsumo 8,00047%16%32%5%+28.4-7.7-7.4-13.3
South 1Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,00078%6%15%1%-4.5-1.3+6.1-0.3
South 2Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Shirinashihama Wataru75%6%18%1%-0.2-5.1+3.1+2.1
South 3Draw79%1%19%1%+3.3-1.6-5.1+3.4
South 4, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Shirinashihama Wataru88%0%10%2%+1.8+5.4-1.7-5.5

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)