Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/5 Table B Game 1

Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+64.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 16,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +50.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Watanabe Futoshi● Mizuhara Akina● Sano Hinako● Suzuki Daisuke0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Watanabe● Mizuhara● Sano● Suzuki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMizuhara Akina
1st-place chance
Sano Hinako
1st-place chance
Suzuki Daisuke
1st-place chance
Watanabe Futoshi
1st-place chance
Mizuhara Akina
Expected pt change
Sano Hinako
Expected pt change
Suzuki Daisuke
Expected pt change
Watanabe Futoshi
Expected pt change
East 1Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,00024%26%24%26%-14.6-9.4-10.1+34.0
East 2Draw13%18%16%52%-1.3+6.3-0.6-4.4
East 2, 1 honbaSano Hinako tsumo 18,00013%22%17%48%-14.3+46.3-15.7-16.3
East 2, 2 honbaMizuhara Akina tsumo 8,0006%61%8%26%+17.8-9.2-6.2-2.4
East 3Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,00013%53%7%28%+13.7-1.8-7.2-4.7
East 4Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi21%51%5%24%+20.5+2.9-0.3-23.1
South 1Mizuhara Akina tsumo 3,90033%54%4%9%+9.3-4.3-2.1-3.0
South 1, 1 honbaWatanabe Futoshi tsumo 16,00043%46%3%9%-26.4-13.5-10.7+50.5
South 2Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 4,00019%32%2%48%-5.3-13.5-1.2+20.1
South 3Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke9%14%1%76%-2.6-2.2-7.6+12.4
South 4Sano Hinako ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina2%3%0%95%-13.2+11.7+0.4+1.0

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)