Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/5 Table B Game 2
Nakabayashi Kei finished 1st (+55.4pt). The game was decided in South 2: Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000, which moved Nakabayashi Kei's expected points by +31.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -12.1 | +22.0 | -3.6 | -6.3 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 40% | 22% | 21% | +33.9 | -18.3 | -8.5 | -7.1 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 41% | 25% | 18% | 17% | +0.4 | +3.0 | -4.3 | +0.9 |
| East 4 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 42% | 26% | 14% | 18% | -2.1 | +1.8 | +24.5 | -24.3 |
| South 1 | Nakada Kana ron 3,200 from Sonoda Ken | 39% | 28% | 27% | 6% | -11.2 | +0.8 | +2.5 | +7.8 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 29% | 31% | 10% | -9.0 | -15.7 | +31.7 | -7.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 15% | 12% | 66% | 6% | +8.5 | -5.8 | -0.3 | -2.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 5,800 from Sonoda Ken | 17% | 6% | 71% | 5% | -22.8 | +4.1 | +4.2 | +14.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 3,900 | 4% | 6% | 80% | 11% | -11.2 | -11.3 | -3.8 | +26.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 4% | 5% | 76% | 15% | -16.3 | +1.5 | +13.4 | +1.4 |