Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/6 Game 1
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+66.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Sano Hinako, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +38.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sano Hinako 1st-place chance | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sano Hinako Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -10.0 | +19.9 | -6.3 | -3.6 |
| East 2 | Sano Hinako ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 16% | 42% | 21% | 22% | -0.7 | -25.0 | +1.3 | +24.4 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Sano Hinako | 16% | 21% | 22% | 42% | -0.1 | +38.9 | -2.9 | -35.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 55% | 16% | 15% | +1.1 | -5.3 | -3.3 | +7.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 50% | 15% | 19% | -7.4 | +26.8 | -4.2 | -15.3 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,700 | 7% | 80% | 8% | 6% | -6.6 | +1.3 | +9.0 | -3.7 |
| South 2 | Draw | 2% | 84% | 9% | 4% | -2.0 | +2.9 | -1.7 | +0.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Asami Maki | 2% | 86% | 8% | 4% | -26.8 | -2.7 | +28.2 | +1.4 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 81% | 17% | 2% | -1.2 | +6.9 | -6.5 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Asami Maki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 94% | 4% | 2% | +27.0 | +1.2 | -1.7 | -26.5 |