Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/6 Table B Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+70.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 26% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -3.7 | +0.9 | +5.1 | -2.3 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 25% | 28% | 25% | -8.9 | +36.7 | -12.6 | -15.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 15% | 54% | 18% | 13% | -13.5 | +35.4 | -10.8 | -11.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 86% | 6% | 4% | +15.0 | -4.2 | -6.9 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 7% | 85% | 5% | 4% | +1.1 | +1.9 | -3.6 | +0.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 6,000 | 6% | 88% | 3% | 3% | -3.7 | -3.7 | -6.1 | +13.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 7% | 85% | 2% | 6% | -3.4 | -0.9 | -1.3 | +5.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 5% | 84% | 3% | 8% | -2.0 | -1.9 | -3.5 | +7.4 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Draw | 5% | 83% | 2% | 10% | -3.2 | -0.5 | +7.3 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Draw | 5% | 85% | 3% | 7% | +3.6 | -1.0 | +1.5 | -4.1 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 5% | 84% | 4% | 7% | -1.6 | +9.9 | -9.2 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 95% | 2% | 3% | -1.2 | -2.5 | +3.1 | +0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 2,100 | 0% | 95% | 2% | 3% | -3.0 | -0.7 | +7.1 | -3.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 95% | 2% | 2% | +10.3 | +1.3 | -8.7 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Ishii Kazuma ron 2,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | +14.1 | +1.2 | -9.6 | -5.7 |