Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/6 Table B Game 2

Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Miura Tomohiro, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +44.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 3End● Sasaki Hisato● Miura Tomohiro● Asakura Koshin● Shirinashihama Wataru0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Sasaki● Miura● Asakura● Shirinashihama
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMiura Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Asakura Koshin
1st-place chance
Shirinashihama Wataru
1st-place chance
Miura Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Asakura Koshin
Expected pt change
Shirinashihama Wataru
Expected pt change
East 1Draw25%26%24%25%+3.1+3.7-2.8-4.0
East 1, 1 honbaMiura Tomohiro tsumo 12,00028%27%22%23%+29.9-10.9-9.3-9.7
East 1, 2 honbaAsakura Koshin tsumo 1,10051%18%16%16%+1.0-2.4+2.2-0.8
East 2Draw54%16%16%15%+2.2-2.7-2.4+3.0
East 3, 1 honbaDraw56%14%14%16%-4.3-4.7+3.4+5.6
East 3, 2 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 1,600 from Shirinashihama Wataru51%11%18%20%-1.4+18.0-6.2-10.4
East 4Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,20052%22%12%15%+0.5+15.0-4.8-10.7
South 1Draw52%31%9%8%-5.2+4.8-2.4+2.8
South 2, 1 honbaShirinashihama Wataru ron 2,000 from Asakura Koshin45%35%9%10%+3.0-4.2-11.6+12.8
South 3Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,00051%30%6%13%-10.3+27.6-12.2-5.0
South 4Shirinashihama Wataru ron 12,000 from Miura Tomohiro24%70%0%7%-40.9+2.0+0.5+38.4
South 4, 1 honbaShirinashihama Wataru ron 12,000 from Miura Tomohiro0%75%0%25%-26.0-25.1+12.0+39.1
South 4, 2 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Miura Tomohiro0%11%0%89%-14.2+44.9+6.0-36.7

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)