Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/8 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+55.8pt). The game was decided in East 3: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +29.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 24% | 26% | 23% | 27% | -12.7 | -5.3 | +2.9 | +15.1 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 1,500 | 16% | 20% | 26% | 38% | -0.3 | +8.3 | -5.2 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 27% | 23% | 34% | -3.3 | -9.1 | -3.6 | +16.0 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 20% | 19% | 49% | -6.7 | +29.6 | -13.5 | -9.4 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 42% | 10% | 39% | -5.4 | +15.3 | -1.9 | -8.0 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 58% | 8% | 27% | +31.9 | -10.3 | -11.3 | -10.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 48% | 7% | 23% | +4.5 | +1.4 | -0.7 | -5.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 49% | 7% | 18% | -13.3 | +2.6 | +12.5 | -1.9 |
| South 2 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 56% | 10% | 19% | -2.0 | -5.2 | +15.2 | -8.0 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 16% | 52% | 17% | 15% | -12.0 | +15.3 | -0.7 | -2.6 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 4% | 78% | 6% | 12% | -30.7 | -14.9 | -7.4 | +53.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 41% | 2% | 57% | -1.3 | +27.7 | -1.2 | -25.3 |