Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/8 Game 2

Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 9,600 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +27.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 3End● Uchikawa Kotaro● Tojyo Rio● Shirinashihama Wataru● Sonoda Ken0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Uchikawa● Tojyo● Shirinashihama● Sonoda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTojyo Rio
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Shirinashihama Wataru
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Tojyo Rio
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Shirinashihama Wataru
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Tojyo Rio25%25%24%26%-11.5+9.1+1.7+0.7
East 2Uchikawa Kotaro ron 9,600 from Sonoda Ken18%29%26%27%-0.9+27.8-0.1-26.8
East 2, 1 honbaSonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Tojyo Rio15%54%22%10%-16.0-1.3-0.9+18.2
East 3Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,0008%52%21%18%+3.4+1.3-3.6-1.1
East 4Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,00010%54%18%18%-0.2+11.0-1.2-9.6
South 1Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,1007%70%15%9%-6.9+3.4-1.0+4.4
South 2Shirinashihama Wataru tsumo 8,0002%75%13%10%-6.8-10.9+25.6-7.8
South 3Draw2%62%29%8%-1.0-3.5+5.1-0.7
South 3, 1 honbaSonoda Ken ron 1,300 from Tojyo Rio1%56%35%7%-9.1+3.2-2.6+8.6
South 4Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,0000%62%29%9%-3.0+21.1-9.8-8.3

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)