Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/8 Table B Game 1
HIRO Shibata finished 1st (+50.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: HIRO Shibata ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved HIRO Shibata's expected points by +42.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -4.1 | +6.9 | -1.7 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 22% | 30% | 23% | 25% | -3.2 | -10.3 | -0.4 | +14.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 21% | 21% | 23% | 35% | -0.2 | +3.2 | +3.9 | -7.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 24% | 25% | 31% | -3.5 | -0.5 | -10.6 | +14.6 |
| East 4 | HIRO Shibata ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 18% | 24% | 17% | 41% | -2.3 | -1.1 | +28.6 | -25.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 16% | 22% | 40% | 21% | +6.0 | +4.6 | -6.3 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 25% | 34% | 20% | +39.2 | -12.4 | -14.9 | -11.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 54% | 15% | 19% | 11% | -3.5 | +1.8 | +6.4 | -4.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 50% | 17% | 24% | 9% | +4.5 | -13.5 | -7.0 | +16.0 |
| South 3 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 3,000 | 60% | 7% | 17% | 16% | -4.6 | -2.4 | +11.8 | -4.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 53% | 7% | 26% | 14% | -6.4 | -6.2 | +6.4 | +6.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,300 from HIRO Shibata | 45% | 5% | 33% | 17% | +4.7 | -5.3 | -6.7 | +7.2 |
| South 4 | HIRO Shibata ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 54% | 4% | 23% | 19% | -42.2 | -6.6 | +42.5 | +6.2 |