Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/9 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+74.2pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +29.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 23% | 25% | 27% | +29.3 | -9.1 | -9.6 | -10.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 47% | 17% | 18% | 18% | -3.5 | -0.3 | +6.2 | -2.4 |
| East 2 | Shimoishi Geki ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 45% | 17% | 21% | 17% | -9.7 | -2.7 | -0.8 | +13.3 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 16% | 21% | 26% | -5.2 | +24.7 | -13.3 | -6.2 |
| East 4 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 7,800 | 34% | 31% | 14% | 21% | -7.4 | -7.1 | -8.8 | +23.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 25% | 27% | 10% | 39% | +8.9 | -4.0 | -1.6 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 32% | 22% | 9% | 36% | -29.5 | +29.6 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 10% | 49% | 9% | 32% | -1.4 | +11.5 | -9.3 | -0.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 5,800 from Shimoishi Geki | 6% | 63% | 5% | 26% | +1.5 | +15.1 | +1.5 | -18.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 4% | 82% | 4% | 11% | +2.5 | +9.0 | -11.2 | -0.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 2% | 89% | 2% | 7% | -2.5 | -1.4 | -2.2 | +6.1 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 90% | 1% | 7% | -1.7 | +7.9 | -7.3 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -2.8 | +2.7 | -1.2 | +1.3 |