Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/9 Table B Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +38.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 23% | 25% | 27% | 26% | -21.3 | +0.7 | +20.2 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 12% | 24% | 39% | 25% | -1.4 | +1.6 | +1.9 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 24% | 41% | 25% | -5.5 | -13.9 | -5.7 | +25.2 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,000 | 8% | 15% | 34% | 43% | -2.9 | -1.5 | -1.8 | +6.3 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,600 from Takeuchi Genta | 6% | 12% | 32% | 50% | +7.2 | -0.7 | -10.9 | +4.4 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 8% | 13% | 22% | 57% | -19.2 | +18.9 | -1.4 | +1.6 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 2% | 21% | 19% | 58% | -5.5 | -3.5 | +0.4 | +8.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 12% | 17% | 71% | -1.4 | -1.5 | +6.4 | -3.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 14% | 22% | 64% | -3.2 | +38.9 | -22.3 | -13.4 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 61% | 3% | 35% | -1.6 | +19.0 | -2.7 | -14.7 |