Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/12 Game 1
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+51.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +63.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kana Nakada tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -3.0 | +4.0 | -1.9 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | HIRO Shibata ron 2,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 22% | 29% | 23% | 26% | -0.6 | -0.6 | -2.6 | +3.8 |
| East 3 | HIRO Shibata ron 3,900 from Shota Akutsu | 21% | 28% | 22% | 29% | -10.1 | -0.6 | -2.6 | +13.3 |
| East 4 | Kana Nakada ron 5,200 from Genta Takeuchi | 16% | 25% | 20% | 39% | -1.3 | +20.6 | -15.8 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 5,200 from Kana Nakada | 13% | 44% | 10% | 33% | -4.0 | -15.2 | +15.0 | +4.3 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 30% | 18% | 41% | -9.2 | -17.7 | +33.4 | -6.5 |
| South 3 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 2,700 | 7% | 15% | 46% | 32% | -7.3 | -3.9 | -2.7 | +14.0 |
| South 4 | Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu | 3% | 11% | 39% | 47% | -14.5 | +63.5 | -32.6 | -16.5 |