Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/12 Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+66.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Miura ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -0.8 | +2.6 | +1.0 | -2.8 |
| East 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 24% | 27% | 25% | 25% | +24.4 | -5.8 | -18.5 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 1,300 from Rio Tojyo | 43% | 20% | 15% | 23% | +0.4 | +2.1 | -6.2 | +3.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 22% | 9% | 26% | +4.6 | +5.0 | +1.2 | -10.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 25% | 10% | 16% | +32.6 | -13.3 | -9.0 | -10.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Miura | 84% | 8% | 3% | 5% | -1.0 | -11.8 | -0.2 | +12.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 86% | 5% | 2% | 7% | -1.2 | +3.6 | +1.6 | -4.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 3,000 | 85% | 5% | 3% | 7% | -3.1 | +11.1 | -4.9 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Miura | 81% | 8% | 4% | 8% | +3.6 | -19.4 | +14.3 | +1.6 |
| South 3 | Rio Tojyo ron 3,200 from Tomohiro Miura | 88% | 1% | 5% | 6% | +7.4 | -12.8 | +2.3 | +3.1 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 4,000 | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +0.2 | +36.8 | -23.2 | -13.8 |