Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/12 Table B Game 1
Naoki Setokuma finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000, which moved Naoki Setokuma's expected points by +28.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -8.1 | +9.8 | -2.4 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 21% | 31% | 23% | 25% | +37.5 | -38.1 | +1.1 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 7% | 22% | 22% | +19.6 | -0.7 | -14.7 | -4.1 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 71% | 5% | 9% | 15% | -17.2 | -6.9 | +27.0 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,300 from Hisato Sasaki | 52% | 5% | 27% | 16% | +0.8 | -2.4 | +2.8 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 54% | 4% | 27% | 14% | -0.7 | +31.3 | +1.6 | -32.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 53% | 13% | 29% | 5% | -9.5 | -12.9 | +28.4 | -6.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 3% | 63% | 2% | -2.9 | -2.7 | +2.3 | +3.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 1% | 72% | 2% | -1.9 | +2.2 | -3.7 | +3.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 26% | 3% | 67% | 4% | -40.1 | +35.7 | +13.8 | -9.4 |