Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/12 Table B Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+80.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +38.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +3.5 | +0.4 | -7.5 | +3.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 7,700 from Saki Kurosawa | 27% | 26% | 20% | 27% | +23.1 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -21.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,300 from Hisato Sasaki | 44% | 23% | 18% | 15% | -5.2 | +5.7 | -2.3 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 40% | 27% | 18% | 15% | +11.3 | -8.3 | -0.4 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 51% | 19% | 17% | 13% | +3.7 | +0.6 | -8.9 | +4.6 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 7,700 from Ken Sonoda | 57% | 18% | 11% | 14% | -1.1 | -20.2 | -1.0 | +22.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 54% | 10% | 10% | 27% | -1.7 | -11.9 | +0.9 | +12.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 5% | 10% | 35% | -3.9 | -5.6 | +22.7 | -13.1 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000 | 48% | 5% | 23% | 25% | +38.9 | -8.9 | -15.4 | -14.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 89% | 1% | 5% | 6% | -0.1 | -5.5 | +0.1 | +5.4 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 89% | 1% | 4% | 6% | +0.2 | +5.9 | -8.9 | +2.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 90% | 1% | 2% | 7% | +0.5 | -5.1 | -0.8 | +5.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 92% | 0% | 2% | 6% | +9.4 | -2.7 | -1.4 | -5.3 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +2.5 | -0.9 | -1.8 | +0.2 |