Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/13 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +45.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 25% | 26% | 23% | 27% | -33.8 | -2.3 | +2.6 | +33.5 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa | 6% | 20% | 21% | 53% | -9.8 | +14.4 | -1.0 | -3.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 27% | 21% | 47% | -0.9 | +6.7 | -4.3 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,800 from Kenji Katsumata | 4% | 34% | 18% | 45% | -0.6 | +17.9 | -0.3 | -17.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 51% | 17% | 28% | +0.1 | +3.0 | +4.4 | -7.4 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 55% | 18% | 22% | -5.1 | +25.4 | -10.6 | -9.7 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 1% | 79% | 9% | 11% | +0.7 | +6.9 | +2.2 | -9.8 |
| East 2, 6 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 86% | 8% | 6% | 0.0 | +3.7 | -2.3 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 7 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 88% | 7% | 5% | -7.2 | -14.3 | +29.8 | -8.3 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 73% | 21% | 5% | +14.0 | -0.6 | -7.6 | -5.8 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,100 | 2% | 78% | 15% | 4% | -1.2 | +0.1 | -3.6 | +4.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 79% | 14% | 5% | -2.8 | -2.3 | +2.4 | +2.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 2% | 77% | 15% | 7% | -4.8 | +8.6 | +0.2 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 1% | 86% | 11% | 2% | +5.8 | -4.2 | -2.5 | +0.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 84% | 11% | 3% | -11.7 | -2.9 | -4.9 | +19.5 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 83% | 9% | 8% | -0.7 | -12.5 | -3.4 | +16.7 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 72% | 11% | 18% | -2.9 | -1.4 | +7.7 | -3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 69% | 15% | 16% | -0.2 | -46.5 | +45.2 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 9% | 75% | 17% | -0.8 | +8.7 | +0.6 | -8.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 7% | 80% | 13% | -0.9 | +1.7 | -1.2 | +0.4 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 10% | 77% | 13% | -1.8 | -15.3 | -5.0 | +22.2 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 6% | 70% | 24% | -1.5 | -7.5 | +19.0 | -10.0 |