Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/13 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+55.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 18,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +47.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 23% | 27% | 26% | 24% | -7.1 | -1.8 | -4.4 | +13.3 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 18,000 | 19% | 24% | 24% | 34% | -15.0 | +47.5 | -14.2 | -18.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 63% | 12% | 16% | -5.8 | +21.8 | -7.8 | -8.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 84% | 5% | 8% | -1.8 | +5.8 | -1.1 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 89% | 4% | 4% | -5.8 | -8.7 | -7.2 | +21.6 |
| East 3 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 82% | 4% | 12% | -10.3 | -6.9 | +28.6 | -11.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 76% | 12% | 10% | +28.0 | -1.1 | -20.0 | -7.0 |
| East 4 | Kosuke Nagai ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 6% | 79% | 5% | 9% | -13.6 | +2.7 | +13.5 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 84% | 7% | 6% | -8.2 | +1.5 | -1.3 | +8.0 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,900 from Kosuke Nagai | 1% | 88% | 6% | 6% | -1.0 | +6.8 | -6.6 | +0.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 93% | 3% | 3% | -5.9 | -7.5 | +18.5 | -5.1 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 0% | 88% | 7% | 4% | +23.7 | +4.3 | -29.7 | +1.7 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -4.9 | -21.3 | -5.9 | +32.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 1% | 75% | 0% | 24% | -21.9 | +10.9 | +21.4 | -10.4 |