Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/13 Table B Game 1

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+56.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +35.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 3End● Takaharu Ooi● Sayaka Okada● Tomohiro Honda● Geki Shimoishi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Sayaka● Tomohiro● Geki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Sayaka Okada
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Sayaka Okada
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,90025%26%26%23%+11.0-4.2-6.6-0.2
East 1, 1 honbaSayaka Okada tsumo 8,00032%24%21%24%-13.5+22.0-3.1-5.4
East 2Sayaka Okada ron 2,900 from Takaharu Ooi23%38%19%20%-7.0+7.1+0.5-0.7
East 2, 1 honbaGeki Shimoishi ron 3,900 from Sayaka Okada16%45%19%19%0.0-11.8+0.3+11.6
East 3Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,00018%35%20%27%-3.9-5.0-15.1+24.0
East 4Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,00015%28%10%47%+27.7-5.9-9.8-11.9
South 1Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Geki Shimoishi33%25%8%35%+1.8-2.7+26.2-25.2
South 2Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,00037%24%21%18%+1.3-3.3+8.1-6.1
South 3Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,00039%20%25%16%+35.6-9.0-17.0-9.6
South 4Geki Shimoishi tsumo 7,80088%2%2%7%-7.4-14.2-14.7+36.4
South 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw78%2%2%18%-2.6-8.4+7.3+3.6
South 4, 2 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Sayaka Okada75%1%3%21%+14.1-11.3+3.5-6.2

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)