Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/13 Table B Game 2

Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+84.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +31.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Daisuke Suzuki● Masato Hagiwara● Yoshihiro Matsumoto● Wataru Shirinashihama0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Daisuke● Masato● Yoshihiro● Wataru
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMasato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
1st-place chance
Wataru Shirinashihama
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
Expected pt change
Wataru Shirinashihama
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,00025%26%24%25%-17.1-8.2-5.8+31.1
East 2Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto15%17%19%49%+0.4-22.7-1.1+23.4
East 3Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 3,0009%5%13%73%-1.2-3.3+6.7-2.3
East 3, 1 honbaMasato Hagiwara ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki9%4%16%70%+6.2-1.5-0.8-3.9
East 4Exhaustive draw12%5%15%69%-1.4-2.8+1.9+2.4
East 4, 1 honbaYoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Wataru Shirinashihama11%3%16%70%-1.1+11.7-10.3-0.3
South 1Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,00010%6%11%73%-15.5+21.4-6.4+0.5
South 2Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 4,0003%13%8%77%-2.3-7.9-3.2+13.4
South 3Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara1%1%4%94%-14.8+17.6-4.7+1.9
South 4Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 18,0000%1%0%99%-6.5-6.1-6.0+18.5
South 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%0%0%100%-0.2-3.5+2.9+0.8
South 4, 2 honbaYoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,000 from Wataru Shirinashihama0%0%0%100%-5.0+8.3-1.8-1.5

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)