Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/15 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+50.7pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +36.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Arisa Date ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki | 24% | 23% | 26% | 27% | -32.2 | -2.6 | -1.6 | +36.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 19% | 21% | 54% | +5.1 | -3.0 | -2.5 | +0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 8% | 16% | 19% | 57% | +1.7 | +14.6 | -18.3 | +1.9 |
| East 4 | Kana Nakada tsumo 1,100 | 9% | 24% | 10% | 57% | -2.6 | +5.9 | +1.4 | -4.7 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 28% | 10% | 54% | +10.6 | -4.4 | -4.4 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 27% | 9% | 53% | -6.2 | -0.8 | +5.2 | +1.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 26% | 10% | 57% | +36.2 | -19.3 | -13.0 | -3.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 11% | 8% | 52% | -2.0 | -2.1 | +7.0 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 29% | 12% | 9% | 50% | +6.4 | -3.6 | -8.9 | +6.2 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 30% | 8% | 3% | 59% | +34.0 | -1.8 | -8.2 | -23.9 |