Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/15 Game 2
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +52.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | +1.6 | +0.5 | +4.6 | -6.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 27% | 27% | 21% | -13.3 | -5.4 | -5.9 | +24.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 22% | 23% | 37% | +0.6 | -5.0 | +6.2 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Rio Tojyo | 17% | 19% | 27% | 37% | -4.0 | +17.0 | -2.2 | -10.7 |
| East 4 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 2,700 | 14% | 31% | 26% | 29% | -2.2 | -1.2 | +9.7 | -6.3 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 30% | 32% | 23% | -7.1 | +9.2 | +1.1 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 38% | 33% | 21% | +52.4 | -29.9 | -12.7 | -9.8 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 12% | 20% | 15% | +29.8 | -5.1 | -11.9 | -12.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 92% | 1% | 1% | 6% | +2.2 | -2.4 | +16.5 | -16.3 |