Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/15 Table B Game 1

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 3 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Megumu Aikawa, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +21.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Kosuke Nagai● Genta Takeuchi● Megumu Aikawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Kosuke● Genta● Megumu
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Kosuke Nagai
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Megumu Aikawa
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Kosuke Nagai
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
Megumu Aikawa
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,00025%25%25%25%+17.4-6.3-4.9-6.2
East 1, 1 honbaExhaustive draw39%20%22%20%-8.8+0.4+1.7+6.7
East 2, 2 honbaExhaustive draw31%21%22%26%-0.6+3.8-4.1+0.9
East 2, 3 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Megumu Aikawa31%23%20%26%+21.4-6.3+0.3-15.4
East 3Exhaustive draw50%16%19%16%-0.7+11.8-6.1-5.0
East 4, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 3,200 from Megumu Aikawa49%23%14%13%-0.4-0.6+12.4-11.4
South 1Exhaustive draw49%23%21%8%+3.2+3.4-3.4-3.2
South 1, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 6,00052%24%18%6%+20.7-7.6-7.0-6.1
South 1, 2 honbaMegumu Aikawa tsumo 8,00074%13%10%3%-7.5-8.2-3.8+19.5
South 2Exhaustive draw71%10%11%8%-3.0+7.6-3.6-0.9
South 2, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Kosuke Nagai66%16%9%9%+13.0-8.6-0.8-3.6
South 3Exhaustive draw86%3%6%5%-3.4+3.2+3.6-3.5
South 3, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi tsumo 3,00082%5%8%6%-2.4-5.5+11.4-3.6
South 3, 2 honbaMegumu Aikawa tsumo 12,00079%4%12%5%-1.0-11.7-30.2+42.8
South 4Kosuke Nagai ron 8,000 from Megumu Aikawa83%2%1%15%+7.6+32.6-8.3-31.8

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)