Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/15 Table B Game 2

Hinako Sano finished 1st (+68.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hinako Sano ron 18,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Hinako Sano's expected points by +44.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Hinako Sano● HIRO Shibata● Sho Shiratori● Kenji Katsumata0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Hinako● HIRO● Sho● Kenji
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHIRO Shibata
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Hinako Sano
1st-place chance
HIRO Shibata
Expected pt change
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Hinako Sano
Expected pt change
East 1Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata26%24%26%25%-5.5+9.8-5.6+1.3
East 2HIRO Shibata ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori21%32%21%26%+26.2-26.2+0.4-0.3
East 3Kenji Katsumata tsumo 7,80040%13%21%26%-8.8-7.3+23.0-6.9
East 3, 1 honbaKenji Katsumata tsumo 7,80033%11%37%20%-7.8-4.3+19.4-7.3
East 3, 2 honbaExhaustive draw24%8%54%14%+2.1+1.8+2.3-6.2
East 3, 3 honbaHinako Sano ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata24%8%57%11%+1.9-5.2-24.1+27.3
East 4Hinako Sano ron 18,000 from Sho Shiratori30%8%33%29%-3.8-30.8-9.5+44.1
East 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw17%1%16%66%-3.8+2.8+0.9+0.1
South 1, 2 honbaKenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori13%1%16%70%-6.1-6.7+11.8+0.9
South 2Hinako Sano ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata7%0%23%70%-1.8-1.9-5.7+9.3
South 3Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata3%0%13%84%-2.5+1.7-5.1+5.9
South 4Exhaustive draw1%0%2%97%-4.5+2.1+3.0-0.5

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)