Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/16 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +26.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -7.7 | -2.9 | +10.9 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 23% | 33% | 24% | -0.4 | -7.2 | +8.7 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 6,000 | 20% | 18% | 39% | 23% | -5.7 | -3.8 | +19.2 | -9.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 14% | 57% | 16% | -9.7 | -10.5 | +26.0 | -5.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 5% | 82% | 7% | -2.8 | +11.1 | -3.7 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 2,000 | 5% | 7% | 82% | 6% | -2.1 | +6.5 | +0.8 | -5.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 9% | 84% | 4% | -6.0 | +5.3 | +5.2 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 7% | 90% | 3% | -1.3 | -2.9 | +5.4 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Geki Shimoishi | 0% | 1% | 97% | 2% | -17.4 | -0.2 | -1.0 | +18.6 |
| South 4 | Geki Shimoishi ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +0.8 | +6.8 | -1.1 | -6.4 |