Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/16 Table B Game 1
Wataru Shirinashihama finished 1st (+79.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 32,000, which moved Wataru Shirinashihama's expected points by +71.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Wataru Shirinashihama 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Wataru Shirinashihama Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +6.2 | -3.3 | -4.1 | +1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 29% | 22% | 23% | 26% | -4.4 | +24.5 | -19.0 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 40% | 12% | 25% | +0.3 | +4.0 | -1.1 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 43% | 12% | 21% | -3.4 | -3.0 | +2.2 | +4.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 2,700 | 22% | 41% | 14% | 24% | -0.4 | +16.8 | -8.5 | -7.9 |
| East 4 | Wataru Shirinashihama ron 1,300 from Maki Asami | 18% | 58% | 7% | 17% | +3.1 | +1.6 | -3.3 | -1.5 |
| South 1 | Wataru Shirinashihama ron 12,000 from Maki Asami | 19% | 61% | 6% | 14% | +30.1 | -6.9 | -20.6 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 46% | 2% | 10% | -19.2 | +27.1 | -3.4 | -4.5 |
| South 2 | Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 32,000 | 13% | 82% | 1% | 5% | +71.4 | -51.0 | -9.1 | -11.2 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Miura ron 2,000 from Koshin Asakura | 99% | 1% | 0% | 1% | +0.6 | -3.1 | -2.4 | +4.9 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Wataru Shirinashihama | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -4.9 | +9.1 | +0.2 | -4.4 |