Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/16 Table B Game 2
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 18,000, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +45.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +4.3 | +4.3 | -5.7 | -3.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki | 28% | 27% | 22% | 23% | +31.4 | -28.4 | +0.8 | -3.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Futoshi Watanabe | 53% | 10% | 19% | 18% | +0.1 | +15.8 | -17.7 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 53% | 16% | 11% | 19% | -17.2 | +43.7 | -12.7 | -13.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,100 | 33% | 48% | 7% | 12% | -1.8 | +5.2 | -1.0 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 4,000 | 32% | 53% | 6% | 9% | -0.7 | -7.7 | +11.1 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 18,000 | 32% | 47% | 11% | 10% | -17.9 | -13.0 | +45.6 | -14.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 20% | 35% | 38% | 7% | +25.7 | -5.2 | -4.0 | -16.6 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 38% | 27% | 32% | 3% | +0.6 | -4.4 | +6.8 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 5,200 | 38% | 24% | 37% | 1% | -7.7 | -1.3 | +1.3 | +7.6 |
| South 2 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 24% | 42% | 3% | +0.9 | -20.7 | -1.8 | +21.7 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 38% | 11% | 42% | 9% | -17.8 | -10.0 | +35.4 | -7.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 1,000 from Yu Suzuki | 7% | 1% | 89% | 3% | +3.5 | -1.9 | +0.9 | -2.5 |
| South 4 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 0% | 95% | 3% | -6.5 | -12.7 | -2.6 | +21.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 92% | 6% | -2.1 | -2.1 | -2.0 | +6.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 0% | 90% | 8% | +6.9 | -2.6 | +4.6 | -8.8 |