Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/19 Game 2
Arisa Date finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Arisa Date tsumo 8,000, which moved Arisa Date's expected points by +48.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -0.8 | -12.5 | -0.7 | +14.0 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Arisa Date | 23% | 17% | 25% | 35% | -9.1 | -5.1 | -1.5 | +15.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 11% | 22% | 50% | -2.6 | -1.8 | +7.0 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Arisa Date ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 15% | 12% | 26% | 47% | +19.9 | -0.5 | -20.6 | +1.1 |
| East 4 | Arisa Date ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 26% | 11% | 14% | 49% | +18.2 | -0.7 | -2.9 | -14.6 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 44% | 10% | 12% | 33% | -5.3 | +25.9 | -21.8 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 38% | 24% | 5% | 34% | -2.9 | -7.0 | -9.3 | +19.1 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 30% | 14% | 3% | 54% | -7.9 | -7.6 | -7.4 | +22.9 |
| South 4 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 3% | 0% | 88% | +48.9 | -6.7 | -1.8 | -40.4 |