Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/19 Table B Game 1
HIRO Shibata finished 1st (+53.5pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved HIRO Shibata's expected points by +50.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -5.2 | +1.9 | -0.4 | +3.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 22% | 26% | 24% | 28% | +19.6 | -4.5 | -1.9 | -13.2 |
| East 3 | Kosuke Nagai ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 37% | 21% | 22% | 20% | +0.6 | +5.9 | -0.8 | -5.7 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 37% | 25% | 21% | 17% | +8.9 | -1.4 | -2.9 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 45% | 23% | 18% | 13% | -7.2 | +5.7 | +7.1 | -5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 4,000 | 39% | 27% | 22% | 12% | +3.2 | -9.0 | -5.2 | +11.0 |
| South 3 | HIRO Shibata ron 1,500 from Kosuke Nagai | 44% | 19% | 20% | 17% | +0.9 | -5.9 | +4.1 | +0.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 44% | 15% | 22% | 19% | -53.0 | -0.5 | +50.9 | +2.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 7% | 79% | 12% | +11.0 | +1.5 | +1.7 | -14.2 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 4% | 87% | 8% | -15.3 | -21.3 | -13.6 | +50.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 0% | 1% | 64% | 35% | +19.7 | -12.7 | +15.5 | -22.6 |