Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/19 Table B Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Maki Asami, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +25.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 26% | 27% | 24% | 23% | -4.1 | +25.4 | -21.3 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 4,800 from Megumu Aikawa | 20% | 46% | 13% | 21% | -14.1 | +13.0 | -0.1 | +1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 12% | 57% | 11% | 21% | +2.7 | +0.4 | +2.2 | -5.3 |
| East 3 | Maki Asami tsumo 3,000 | 13% | 58% | 12% | 18% | -2.9 | -1.8 | +6.3 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 12% | 56% | 14% | 18% | -0.6 | +0.2 | -21.5 | +21.9 |
| East 4 | Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 10% | 56% | 5% | 29% | +18.2 | +1.8 | -16.0 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 58% | 2% | 24% | +4.6 | -2.5 | -0.5 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 19% | 55% | 2% | 24% | -6.8 | +1.0 | -1.0 | +6.8 |
| South 2 | Megumu Aikawa ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 14% | 56% | 2% | 28% | +2.8 | +0.3 | -1.1 | -2.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 60% | 2% | 24% | +4.2 | -5.7 | +1.9 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 50% | 2% | 28% | -3.2 | -5.0 | +1.4 | +6.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Megumu Aikawa ron 2,000 from Maki Asami | 19% | 44% | 3% | 35% | +11.8 | +6.2 | -7.7 | -10.4 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,100 | 22% | 56% | 0% | 22% | -2.8 | +21.6 | +0.3 | -19.0 |