Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/20 Game 1
Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+51.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +41.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 25% | 25% | 23% | 0.0 | +3.1 | -7.9 | +4.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Shota Akutsu | 26% | 27% | 19% | 28% | -14.5 | -0.3 | -0.2 | +15.0 |
| East 2 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 26% | 18% | 39% | -5.6 | -13.0 | +23.1 | -4.6 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 18% | 34% | 33% | -3.9 | -4.3 | -6.8 | +15.0 |
| East 4 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 16,000 | 11% | 14% | 26% | 49% | +49.0 | -13.2 | -10.3 | -25.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 9% | 19% | 23% | -2.4 | -3.4 | +7.0 | -1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 45% | 8% | 23% | 24% | +2.9 | -9.5 | -8.3 | +15.0 |
| South 3 | Kazuma Ishii ron 1,500 from Saki Kurosawa | 50% | 1% | 17% | 32% | -0.3 | -4.0 | +7.5 | -3.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu | 49% | 1% | 20% | 30% | -41.4 | +23.2 | +7.4 | +10.8 |
| South 4 | Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 15% | 11% | 26% | 49% | -3.8 | -21.6 | +41.6 | -16.2 |