Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/20 Table B Game 2

Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +32.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Mari Takamiya● Rio Tojyo● Kenji Katsumata● Sayaka Kayamori0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Mari● Rio● Kenji● Sayaka
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultRio Tojyo
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Sayaka Kayamori
1st-place chance
Mari Takamiya
1st-place chance
Rio Tojyo
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Sayaka Kayamori
Expected pt change
Mari Takamiya
Expected pt change
East 1Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo25%23%25%27%-23.1-0.1+2.4+20.8
East 2Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori11%23%25%41%-1.7+9.6-11.2+3.3
East 2, 1 honbaSayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,00010%29%17%44%-10.2-17.5+37.0-9.3
East 3Exhaustive draw6%16%44%34%+4.3+4.3-6.4-2.2
East 4, 1 honbaMari Takamiya tsumo 12,0008%20%39%33%-8.2-10.9-13.3+32.5
East 4, 2 honbaSayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Rio Tojyo4%9%21%65%-6.70.0+8.5-1.8
South 1Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata3%8%26%63%-4.1-3.8+4.1+3.7
South 2Rio Tojyo tsumo 6,4000%6%25%68%+11.7-13.7+0.6+1.4
South 3Rio Tojyo ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata1%1%24%74%+14.0-14.7-5.4+6.1
South 4Exhaustive draw0%0%12%88%+3.8-3.6-3.9+3.8

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)