Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/22 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+73.5pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -2.6 | +1.1 | +18.9 | -17.3 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 24% | 39% | 14% | -7.2 | -18.0 | +33.3 | -8.1 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 12% | 8% | 72% | 8% | +25.4 | +0.7 | -3.8 | -22.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 8% | 65% | 3% | +4.9 | +4.4 | -1.9 | -7.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Koshin Asakura | 29% | 8% | 62% | 1% | -8.8 | -2.2 | +5.8 | +5.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 7% | 74% | 1% | -2.6 | +5.5 | -1.7 | -1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 9% | 72% | 1% | -4.6 | -9.1 | +16.3 | -2.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 1% | 95% | 1% | -0.9 | +2.8 | -0.8 | -1.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 0% | 97% | 1% | -2.0 | -0.3 | -0.9 | +3.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 97% | 1% | -0.4 | -1.3 | -0.8 | +2.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 2% | 0% | 97% | 1% | +3.9 | -3.3 | +8.5 | -9.2 |