Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/22 Table B Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+59.0pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +28.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +0.6 | +2.4 | -4.2 | +1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 24% | 21% | 27% | +28.9 | -10.1 | -10.5 | -8.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Arisa Date ron 5,200 from Daisuke Suzuki | 50% | 18% | 15% | 17% | -1.0 | +18.7 | -16.1 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 27% | 8% | 17% | -3.5 | -14.7 | -4.9 | +23.1 |
| East 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 45% | 16% | 7% | 32% | +1.6 | +1.6 | +10.2 | -13.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 48% | 19% | 10% | 22% | +13.2 | -0.7 | -10.9 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 15% | 5% | 19% | -4.5 | +20.4 | -3.6 | -12.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 56% | 29% | 4% | 11% | -0.5 | -2.0 | -0.2 | +2.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 58% | 27% | 4% | 12% | +4.4 | -1.5 | +23.0 | -25.9 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Arisa Date | 67% | 21% | 7% | 5% | +14.2 | -7.8 | -2.7 | -3.7 |
| South 4 | Arisa Date tsumo 2,700 | 91% | 6% | 1% | 2% | +2.7 | +7.8 | -0.6 | -9.9 |