Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/22 Table B Game 2
Sayaka Okada finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000, which moved Sayaka Okada's expected points by +47.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -6.3 | -0.9 | +3.0 | +4.3 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 2,000 | 22% | 22% | 27% | 29% | -0.7 | -4.1 | +6.7 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 21% | 31% | 27% | -13.1 | -18.0 | +47.3 | -16.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 8% | 7% | 75% | 11% | +2.8 | -3.0 | +1.1 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 5% | 78% | 9% | -3.7 | +8.1 | +1.0 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 6% | 82% | 6% | -13.7 | +21.9 | -2.1 | -6.1 |
| South 2 | Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 2% | 13% | 81% | 4% | -7.2 | -1.2 | -14.4 | +22.8 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 16% | 67% | 16% | +7.5 | -1.0 | -2.0 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Kana Nakada ron 5,800 from Kosuke Nagai | 3% | 12% | 71% | 14% | +3.0 | -29.2 | 0.0 | +26.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai ron 2,000 from Kana Nakada | 2% | 2% | 70% | 26% | -11.9 | +8.6 | +13.8 | -10.5 |